We now all certainly expect to see major
reductions in capacity in printing press
production, to a point where the machinery
is built not on a grand scale but much
like machine tools. Margins for the tooling
suppliers are very good in Germany with
some double-digit increases in turnover
and profits recorded. This can be the case
with print machinery too, once the reductions
take place. There would be no surprise
to see some acquisitions made in
both Japan and Germany. Acquisitions
that could possibly have nothing to do
with print.
Another strategy that is taking hold has to
do with the way machinery is sold. Traditionally,
the salesperson or account manager
was put in that role along with the product
manager and all reporting to the higher ups.
Since it is the factory or head office that
looks down upon the organization, they are
considering the importance of guys who in
the past has salaries and commissions in the
region of $200,000-plus.
In the order-taking days of the 1990s,
this system worked and the revenue was
there to cover these costs. But of course
today, the compensation environment
has changed and, surely, there has to be
some room for reductions here – they
think. Sales costs are much more than a
salary. It also includes all the other expenses
like entertainment, travel and so
on, which adds up to a very large number
and one that does not always fit today’s
business climate.
Ideas abound about having the Internet
replace the sales force or at least reduce
it to a level that is affordable. In the
coming year, I think most press manufacturers
will continue reducing their sales
departments and hold onto only the
most-knowledgeable, creative, and hardest-
working employees.
As most of you realize, although it is
nice to have someone come buy you
lunch, what is really important is for that
person to walk you through what they
have and why you need what they are selling.
That is pretty hard to do via email or
during a Webinar. Eye-to-eye contact and
personal relationships have always been
the key to selling anything technical. Actually,
the need for a well-trained, attentive
salesperson has never been more
important. The theory of reducing overhead
in the sales department, by reducing
sales efforts to emails and open houses,
will not work.
Still the head offices are looking for
ways to bring their costs into line with the
market. All of the machine builders face
the same situation. Nobody is working in
a vacuum. The decline in new press orders
makes one wonder if this decline is
something of a self-fulfilling prophecy –
that we have talked ourselves into believing
print will never recover in the modern-
era of communications.
Press manufacturing futures
I predict, of course, that the manufacturing
level of toner- and inkjet-based presses
will show continued improvement in the
near future, while there will be a slight improvement
in the manufacture of commercial
web presses.
The building of
newspaper presses will remain in a neutral
growth state, as will newspaper presses and
extra-large-format sheetfed presses.
I also predict that we will see neutral to
negative growth in small-format (under
20 inches) sheetfed presses, while
medium format (29-inch) will see a neutral
to slight improvement, and large-format
sheetfed (40 inches and bigger) will
see a slight improvement.
The growth in available used machines,
in my opinion, will see continued improvement,
largely because of the lack of
good machinery and an ever-increasing
export demand from developing countries.
The used machinery dealer has been
a continual key piece of the industry, acting
somewhat like a short seller on the
markets. Manufacturers look upon the
used sector with a mixture of disdain to
envy, as the new-press guys are handcuffed
in various ways that do not afford them
the same freedoms. A healthy used sector
is imperative to the industry as a whole.
There are definite signs that our industry
is awakening. With over two years of
virtually no new investment, if 2011 continues
to stabilize, printing companies
will once again likely test the press waters
and look at replacing aging machines.
Provided press manufacturers reduce capacity
and become more like their machine-
tool cousins, equipment will still be
competitively priced.
Patience hell… Let’s
move forward.
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